Published on October 23, 2023, by the Institute for Human Sciences (IWM), this essay offers a comprehensive analysis of the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War and its broader regional consequences. Two years on, the essay remains strikingly relevant as it anticipated structural dilemmas that now define Ukraine’s battlefield and diplomatic realities in 2025. Jarábik examines the war's origins and argues that the West's understanding of these events remains oversimplified, leading to underestimation of Ukraine's resilience and NATO's unpreparedness for the current war of attrition. Break Point shifted focus from a binary “victory or defeat” lens to the long-term consequences of a frozen conflict. Western policymakers increasingly align with this view, managing escalation risks and strategic fatigue rather than expecting quick resolutions.