In an interview with Új Szó, Balázs Jarábik argued that a collapse of Ukraine would serve no actor involved in the conflict, underscoring a shared interest in avoiding systemic breakdown. He assessed that there remains roughly a 50 percent chance for a negotiated peace, reflecting both growing pressures and persistent constraints on all sides. Jarábik highlighted that while the war continues to be shaped by attrition, the strategic calculations of key actors increasingly point toward managing risks rather than pursuing decisive outcomes.