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Nuance in a Nervous Region

Insight with integrity. Honest advice, forged in the field. In an age of echo chambers, dissent is essential.

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News & Publications

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Minority Report: Moldova Ahead of Parliamentary Elections

Balázs Jarábik recently visited Moldova ahead of its crucial parliamentary elections. The country is experiencing growing political polarization: the government, led by the PAS party, retains strong EU backing, while the newly formed Patriotic Bloc is gaining ground by tapping into social discontent—and Russian money. The political center is hollowing out, echoing last year’s presidential race, and with 40% of voters still undecided, the outcome remains uncertain. His backgrounder, explaining why Moldova matters as Ukraine’s soft underbelly and what these dynamics mean for the country’s domestic stability and EU trajectory, was published by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. 

September 17, 2025
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September 17, 2025
Europe in a Bind — Peace, War, Ultimatum (Op-ED)
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Essential Ukraine: A Strategic Lens on Ukraine’s Internal Dynamics

Essential Ukraine is the bi-monthly flagship publication of Minority Report hosted by R.Politik, offering in-depth analysis of Ukraine's internal political landscape, institutions, and societal transformations. Unlike other services, Essential Ukraine prioritizes depth and realism over frequency, focusing on the structural and societal changes influenced by the ongoing conflict. In the latest seventh edition, examines Ukraine’s efforts to preserve cohesion, manage expectations, and sustain wartime governance in the absence of elections. With Russia maintaining the initiative on multiple fronts and Western engagement increasingly calibrated between support and leverage, the most plausible scenario is one of deferred implementation: Kyiv aims to hold the line, impose costs on Moscow, and wait for the Russian offensive to stall by late autumn without achieving significant gains.

September 10, 2025
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September 3, 2025
Dragon, Elephant, and Bear: The New Eurasian Dance (Op-Ed)
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Why we exist?

Minority Report provides reliable analysis, policy advice, and governance consulting focused on a region that is both nervous and in flux: Eastern and Central Europe. Our strength lies in the diverse expertise of our multidisciplinary team, deep understanding, and wide-reaching network of trusted contacts across the region.

In an environment marked by geopolitical tensions, shifting alliances, and social transformation, timely insights and practical guidance are crucial. We return to the Latin core of intelligence—intellegere, meaning “to understand”—and extend it to the ability to apply that understanding in practice. This is the essence of our work: transforming information into actionable knowledge.

We believe that honest dissent—the perspective that represents a minority opinion vis-à-vis dominant assumptions—can be essential for cutting through the noise and producing useful analysis. Our consultants bring a combination of rigorous field experience, deep local knowledge, and proven analytical skills, developed through years of hands-on engagement in governance, state institutions, businesses, civil society, and policy work across Eastern and Central Europe and beyond.

At this pivotal moment, Minority Report is uniquely positioned in the region to help decision-makers, organizations, and partners navigate complexity with clarity. We turn complex realities into evidence-based intelligence, strategic advice, and governance solutions—fostering honest dissent and enabling our clients to anticipate challenges and seize emerging opportunities in a region where every nuance matters.

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Services

The Minority team has the experience and networks necessary for advising on public affairs and public policy in Eastern and Central Europe. It leverages deep regional understanding, thematic expertise, proven research methodologies, and field-based insights.

Assessment & Forecast

Political risk assessments with forward-looking analysis, regional and sectoral briefings, and evaluations of key policy influencers.

Connections

Facilitating meaningful relationships between clients and key stakeholders through our extensive professional network.

Intelligence & Design

Crafting projects, interventions, and engagements grounded in deep local intelligence.

Monitoring & Evaluations

Monitoring and evaluating programs and interventions, producing formative and summative evaluations focused on performance and impact.

Mentoring

Supporting projects through every stage of growth to unlock their full potential and maximize impact.

The team