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Nuance in a Noisy Region 132

Objective analysis demands nuance — and in the age of online echo chambers, dissenting opinions are more important than ever???

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News & Publications

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Minority Report: Moldova Ahead of Parliamentary Elections

Balázs Jarábik recently visited Moldova ahead of its crucial parliamentary elections. The country is experiencing growing political polarization: the government, led by the PAS party, retains strong EU backing, while the newly formed Patriotic Bloc is gaining ground by tapping into social discontent—and Russian money. The political center is hollowing out, echoing last year’s presidential race, and with 40% of voters still undecided, the outcome remains uncertain. His backgrounder, explaining why Moldova matters as Ukraine’s soft underbelly and what these dynamics mean for the country’s domestic stability and EU trajectory, was published by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. 

septembra 17, 2025
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septembra 17, 2025
Europe in a Bind — Peace, War, Ultimatum (Op-ED)
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Essential Ukraine: A Strategic Lens on Ukraine’s Internal Dynamics

Essential Ukraine is a bi-monthly publication of Minority Report hosted by R.Politik, offering in-depth analysis of Ukraine's internal political landscape, institutions, and societal transformations. Authored by Balázs Jarábik, a seasoned observer of Ukrainian politics, the publication provides grounded insights tailored for policymakers, diplomats, and analysts.Unlike other services, Essential Ukraine prioritizes depth and realism over frequency, focusing on the structural and societal changes influenced by the ongoing conflict. 

In the latest 6th edition, Jarabik delves into the complexities of Ukraine's defense strategy amidst escalating pressures.The report highlights the challenges posed by Russia's evolving tactics and the strain on Ukraine's military resources. The analysis underscores the critical need for strategic recalibration and sustained international support to navigate the shifting dynamics of the conflict.

septembra 10, 2025
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septembra 3, 2025
Dragon, Elephant, and Bear: The New Eurasian Dance (Op-Ed)
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Why we exist?

Minority Report was founded by Balázs Jarábik, a leading contributor for over twenty years to international development programs in Central and Eastern Europe. A recognized authority in CEE affairs, Jarábik has combined hands-on fieldwork — including managing numerous international development programs in Central and Eastern Europe as well as in Central Asia — with rigorous scholarly analysis. Jarábik’s writings have appeared in a variety of media outlets, including Bloomberg, CNN, The Economist, The Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, The Guardian, Politico, The Moscow Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post.

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Danube Delta 2018

Services

The Minority team has the experience and networks necessary for advising on public affairs and public policy in Eastern and Central Europe. It leverages deep regional understanding, thematic expertise, proven research methodologies, and field-based insights.

Assessment & Forecast

Political risk assessments with prognosis, regional and sectoral briefings, and evaluations of key policy influencers.

Connections

Facilitating relationships between clients and key stakeholders through an extensive professional network.

Intelligence & Design

Developing projects, interventions, and engagements informed by local intelligence.

Evaluations

Monitoring and evaluating programs and interventions, producing formative and summative evaluations focused on performance and impact.

Mentoring

Supporting projects and civic groups through various stages of growth to enhance their potential and maximize their impact.

The team